Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.040319 0.044010 0.047893 0.052286 0.057120 0.062281 0.068214
2026-02-01 0.032312 0.037401 0.043104 0.049981 0.058066 0.067294 0.078653
2026-02-08 0.026971 0.032777 0.039632 0.048356 0.059208 0.072319 0.089449
2026-02-15 0.023107 0.029254 0.036842 0.046951 0.060148 0.076901 0.099954
2026-02-22 0.020836 0.027342 0.035691 0.047276 0.063063 0.084012 0.114226
2026-03-01 0.018353 0.024833 0.033431 0.045787 0.063266 0.087376 0.123619
2026-03-08 0.015912 0.022108 0.030571 0.043109 0.061436 0.087596 0.128387
2026-03-15 0.014384 0.020485 0.029048 0.042104 0.061789 0.090812 0.137684
2026-03-22 0.013566 0.019786 0.028748 0.042798 0.064629 0.097856 0.153404
2026-03-29 0.012850 0.019162 0.028481 0.043478 0.067452 0.105054 0.170016
2026-04-05 0.011938 0.018160 0.027552 0.043027 0.068413 0.109337 0.182202
2026-04-12 0.011148 0.017281 0.026732 0.042656 0.069429 0.113733 0.194934
2026-04-19 0.010303 0.016268 0.025651 0.041817 0.069664 0.116965 0.206208
2026-04-26 0.009413 0.015122 0.024276 0.040378 0.068761 0.118179 0.214019
2026-05-03 0.008673 0.014168 0.023144 0.039255 0.068296 0.120099 0.223324
2026-05-10 0.008020 0.013311 0.022108 0.038207 0.067860 0.121999 0.232748
2026-05-17 0.007662 0.012929 0.021847 0.038500 0.069870 0.128561 0.251984
2026-05-24 0.007093 0.012140 0.020823 0.037324 0.069021 0.129604 0.260133
2026-05-31 0.006422 0.011129 0.019340 0.035185 0.066149 0.126454 0.259195
2026-06-07 0.006009 0.010553 0.018598 0.034381 0.065803 0.128259 0.268973
2026-06-14 0.005823 0.010377 0.018571 0.034939 0.068196 0.135797 0.292076
2026-06-21 0.005648 0.010207 0.018542 0.035486 0.070603 0.143573 0.316590
2026-06-28 0.005366 0.009819 0.018075 0.035124 0.071095 0.147323 0.332240